mon ex fuit la confrontation

Lees Meer, The dollar continued to weaken across the board yesterday as markets were waiting for the Federal Reserve to announce its latest decision on monetary policy. This begs the question: should we listen to official ECB communications, or will market-moving information about ECB discussions be released to select media on an ad-hoc and privileged basis? Lees Meer, While a slowing global economy due to the impacts of the coronavirus and its containment is a well known narrative, markets have still grappled with how to price it. Lees Meer, The euro's rally from earlier this morning ran out of steam after the morning’s data releases included a sharp expansion in German factory orders and a lower-than-expected improvement in investor confidence in the eurozone. The theme of dollar strength is back with a vengeance today. Lees Meer, Risk appetite is still looking fragile today, after the US dollar has rallied from an early-morning sell-off. This is something the FOMC will likely shy away from given the worsening global macro risks of coronavirus and the sudden cooling in US data. Lees Meer, It was a false start from Fed Governor Jerome Powell in the race with Mario Draghi to the bottom last night as the US central bank held rates at the current levels as they continue to monitor the incoming data. DISCLAIMER: This information has been prepared by Monex Europe Limited, an execution-only service provider. Jerome Powell’s speech at the virtual Federal Reserve symposium this year made it clear that monetary policy in the US was moving to a structurally more dovish reaction function. The Bank of England rate decision at the end of the month remains the only game in town for the pound with swap markets pricing in a 50% probability of a rate cut.   Lees Meer, The labour force survey highlighted that the sizably negative print in today's data was due to the effects of December's reference period occurring so early in the month (6th-12th December). Both GBPEUR and GBPUSD took a further dive this morning during a speech from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. While the krona hit decade lows in the aftermath of the outbreak, its recovery benefitted from the fact that the economy experienced a relatively benign first wave. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. 21:16. Lees Meer, Valutahandelaren wellicht te vroeg gejuicht volgens Ima Sammani van Monex Europe. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe warned that the impact of coronavirus would be worse than the 2003 SARS outbreak, while also reiterating the RBA’s relatively upbeat policy stance and explicitly saying that he considered the risks of further cuts to outweigh any benefits. Lees Meer, The Bullard bounce: a retracement in the dollar due to comments from St. Louis chief James Bullard that pushed back expectations of an immediate 50 basis point July rate cut. Vous ne pouvez pas recoller les morceaux si vous ne savez pas ce qui a mené la relation de couple à l’échec. Chart 2: The South African rand starts to claw back heavy losses seen at the beginning of the month as idiosyncratic risks retreat from the limelight Lees Meer, Sterling’s gains from Monday began to erode yesterday, with the losses extending this morning. The pound has been trading in a subdued manner over the last 24-hours, with volatility expected to remain low until the exit poll is released at 22:00 GMT tonight. Together with swiftly waning inflation pressures, this indeed justifies further monetary easing by the European Central Bank, which confirms markets in their assessment there is currently a 76% chance of an ECB rate cut in September. Lees Meer, Today the TCMB opted to hold the policy one-week repo rate at 8.25%. While the oil crash and strong dollar demand in March were the main drivers for the krone’s initial crash, it is the same factors that are now spurring its recovery. Lees Meer, Trade headlines continue to be the dominating force with little value added in the FOMC meeting minutes released last week. Lees Meer, GBP Sterling has joined the rest of the G10 in the small overnight rally seen against the US dollar, after a historically volatile past week for markets, amid worsening coronavirus fears. The central bank pledged to continue its asset purchase programme as it navigates its way through the pandemic, which is exactly what markets expected. Today’s non-farm payrolls report, therefore, will be facing high expectations when it is released at 13:30 GMT. In the March household survey, approximately 60% of workers that lost their job were counted as no longer in the labour market because they didn’t want a job or were not looking. Lees Meer, The dollar is trading cautiously this morning after getting its teeth kicked in last week following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole. At first glance, it may seem like the pair is ignoring the risk-off environment, with the eurozone economy likely vulnerable to the global growth shock. Tensions between the US and Turkey continue to simmer in the background following Turkey’s pledge to purchase the Russian built S-400 missile system. Moody's downgraded their outlook on South African debt to negative in November, warning of SA's growing debt-to-GDP ratio, but the icing on the cake was when the country had no choice than to impose containment measures to curb the further spread of the coronavirus. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gtfDXSVVcsE   Lees Meer, The greenback’s strength was given further support by Trump’s statement saying a trade deal with China is getting “closer and closer” and there is a “good chance” it will get done. Global central banks such as the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Monetary Authority of Singapore also began to respond to the possible effects of the virus. Below, we highlight some of the reasons for this which include; the loss of output from those leaving the job market altogether therefore not claiming unemployment benefits, system failures in states, backlogs in processing and the impact of the CARES act. Mon ex me fuit du regard. Oui, le fameux : «Fuis moi, je te suis». Lees Meer, The dollar finally managed to stem its losses overnight, having reached fresh lows against most major currencies over the past couple of trading sessions. Lees Meer, Despite a relaxed start to the year in terms of economic data, FX volatility was still plentiful. Given these reports and the current investigation into both Morneau and Trudeau due to the WE scandal, news of last night’s resignation is unlikely to have shocked many. Lees Meer, With the dollar barely resisting further collapse and stimulus talks stalled, today’s release of July’s non-farm payrolls report at 13:30 BST may be a watershed moment for the currency. The countercyclical buffer rate, the amount of capital to be held on the balance sheet of banks, is to drop from 2.5% to 0% in order to pre-emptively avoid a credit crunch. Some mild but fairly broad dollar strength was seen overnight that has not dented these overall dynamics. This morning's eurozone industrial output data from February included a sharp contraction of 1.9% on a year-on-year basis and a 0.1% contraction month-on-month, with a decrease in capital and durable goods causing much of the slump. Lees Meer, The lira enjoyed the biggest one-day jump in two years and is trading over 5.5% higher in today’s session, CDS pricing - insurance against Turkish government debt default - has also dropped, while the Borsa 100 index is 2.6% higher also. Lees Meer, USD is lower against most major currencies today, with JPY the sole loser among the G10. Lees Meer, The dollar is generally weaker this morning, after President Donald Trump was impeached by the House of Representatives, becoming the third president in history to face a trial in the Senate. Being based on ~9000 survey responses from German firms in different sectors, the IFO reading is a leading indicator of any turning points in the German economy. Another failed attempt by Theresa May would embolden opposition within the Conservative party and would likely see the 1922 committee intervene. Congress suspended talks for the Covid-19 stimulus package on Thursday already before it left for a month-long recess.   No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Lees Meer, Markets look as if they are returning to normality today as the greenback trades mixed against its G10 peers, while currency moves against the dollar in the EM space appear to be less dramatic. Lees Meer, This week’s busy data and event calendar offers multiple opportunities for both idiosyncratic moves in individual currencies, as well as broad thematic changes in risk appetite, which will be influenced by the trajectory of the global coronavirus pandemic itself, especially in the US. Meanwhile in Brexit; 10 Tory MP’s have passed the first hurdle to make it into the leadership race Lees Meer, Friday saw the US dollar take on a heavy batch of water after a dismal Nonfarm Payroll release added to a significantly lower ADP release earlier on in the week. This is an indicator that some of the damage the Brexit uncertainty has done may not be easily reversed, which could limit the upside for a sterling rally in the case we eventually would see a Brexit deal. Lees Meer, Sterling fell in a dramatic fashion yesterday as April’s economic growth data showed the economy shrank by 0.4% on a monthly basis. On the surface, it certainly looks like there is […] Lees Meer, The euro saw some wild swings of volatility yesterday around the European Central Bank meeting as a hawkish rate statement was followed by moments of dovish reckoning during the press conference. Stéphane Plaza : ses révélations sur le sexe et les films pornos. While the narrow trade deal was signed and the loonie broke the $1.30 barrier in the early part of January 2020, in part due to rising tensions in the Middle East spurring oil prices higher, the rally didn’t prove sustainable. Last night Trump announced the first stage of sanctions on Iran as the US will aim to freeze the assets of leader Ali Khamenei along with other Iranian military commanders. Lees Meer, The euro started today’s session in the green to mark an extension of the previous two-day rally, allowing EURUSD to set a new 32-month high. Lees Meer, The weighted DXY index of USD vs major currencies is trading at a high for the year, and is on track to enjoy its biggest weekly gain since September. Preliminary GDP data indicates Italy had a 0.2% contraction in Q4, suggesting the country might have entered in a technical recession. As actual constituency results confirmed that yesterday’s general […] Lees Meer, The UK electorate turns to the polls today after the Conservative prime minister Boris Johnson called a snap election to break the Brexit deadlock in Parliament. Lees Meer, The US dollar posted a fight in yesterday’s trading session after spending much of the earlier parts of the week on the back foot. Officials hinted at further measures, such as changes to Required Reserve Ratios, further rate cuts, and fiscal easing. The US dollar is generally weaker across the board, US equity futures are pointing up, and there are reasons to believe the pressure on financial conditions may be easing. Mon ex me fuit - Pourquoi et comment inverser la tendance ? Fitch is the second major agency to cut Mexico’s sovereign debt rating in less than a month, after S&P downgraded it to two notches above junk at the end of March. J'ai la pompe qui fuite quand il fait froid ( au niveau de la flèche rouge ) la petite plaque, c'est quand meme des bonnes gouttes. Lees Meer, Next week marks the first Riksbank meeting since December’s decision to hike the repo rate by 25 basis points and return policy to 0%. Given the size and the scope of these measures, it is unlikely the Swedish central bank will dive back into negative rates after they fought long and hard to return the repo rate to 0%. Lees Meer, Sterling was stuck in the middle of the G10 currency board yesterday as a lack of data released along with a stagnant Brexit process meant the pound followed suit against the US dollar move. Lees Meer, Today’s CPI release saw headline inflation overshoot expectations by 0.1 percentage points to post a print of 2.4% in January – the highest reading in 15 months. Output in the manufacturing sectors remains the weak point in the eurozone’s growth outlook. Lees Meer, Brexit lijkt in een stroomversnelling te zijn gekomen na concessies van de Europese Unie aan de vooravond van cruciale stemmingen deze week in het Britse parlement. While oil benchmarks sit in positive territory now, unlike WTI quotations for the last 2 days due to a quirk in the futures contracts. 530 likes. Lees Meer, Sterling is back near its weekly lows against the US dollar this morning, after having its brief post-Boris rally cut short last night Lees Meer, Sterling enjoyed a small rally yesterday, as Boris Johnson assumed power and went through the process of sacking and appointing cabinet ministers Lees Meer, We expect Mario Draghi will start preparing for a dovish legacy by keeping all options open, reminiscent of his “whatever it takes” speech in 2014 Lees Meer, As expected Boris Johnson was announced as the winner of the Conservative Party leadership contest. Partage. Lees Meer, Emerging Markets rallied against the US dollar as a whole yesterday as markets anticipate further dovish tones from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. Lees Meer, Since the global outbreak of coronavirus in March, the Bank of Mexico has carried out two consecutive interest rates cuts of 50 basis points each in between meetings. Lees Meer, Fresh national lockdowns in France and Germany initially caused the slump, the grim outlook of the European economic recovery painted by ECB President Christine Lagarde in yesterday’s press conference sent the euro down further. Dit wordt veroorzaakt door de groei die globaal afremt, maar niet instort, en centrale banken die nadrukkelijk aanwezig blijven op markten.

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